Alachua County

FloridaPopulation: 279,729
56
/100
Hold
#479 of 1,000 counties
#15 in Florida (67 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated October 19, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$298,912
Median Home Price
30% above national median
$1,640/mo
Median Rent
13% above national median
6.58%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 35% nationally
-$501
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Alachua market analysis

Alachua County sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 6.58%, which places it on the lower end of cash-flow territory but meaningfully above pure appreciation plays. The modeled cap rate comes in at 4.28%, and with a 20% down payment at 6.85% interest, the all-in monthly picture turns negative: estimated cash flow of -$501 per month and a cash-on-cash return of -8.74%. Median home price is $298,912 against median rent of $1,640, and home prices have dipped 1.3% year-over-year, so you are not getting appreciation momentum to compensate for the carry drag. The overall score of 56 out of 100, landing in the 39th percentile nationally and 15th out of 67 Florida counties, tells a middle-of-the-road story: this is not a write-off, but it is not a straightforward buy at current financing costs either.

The cash-flow score of 66 and affordability index of 66 suggest the market has more going for it than the leveraged returns imply. The problem is the math at 6.85%. An investor who can bring a larger down payment, pay cash, or find assets below the $298,912 median stands a real chance of getting to breakeven or better. The appreciation score of 44 and a negative year-over-year price trend mean this is not the market for a pure appreciation thesis. The investor best positioned here is a cash-heavy buyer targeting the lower price tiers, or a value-add operator who can push rents above the $1,640 median through unit upgrades. A stability score of 50 signals neither a runaway market nor a distressed one, which suits a patient landlord better than someone counting on short-term price gains.

Alachua County is anchored by the University of Florida, one of the largest public universities in the United States, and UF Health, a major academic medical center. These two institutions create a structural rental demand floor that most comparably sized markets cannot claim. Student, faculty, staff, and healthcare-worker households generate consistent lease activity with limited sensitivity to local economic cycles. That demand profile skews toward smaller units and near-campus corridors, so your acquisition strategy should be mapped against proximity to those anchors. A property two miles from campus faces a fundamentally different tenant pool than one in a suburban subdivision ten miles out, and your underwriting should price that difference.

The combined monthly tax and insurance figure here is $389, which is material but not alarming. The state-average effective property tax rate of 0.89% is flagged as normal, meaning it does not create a structural disadvantage relative to peer Florida markets, though the honest caveat is that this is a state-average estimate and actual county or township rates may differ. Insurance at 0.67% annually, or roughly $167 per month on a $298,912 asset, reflects Florida's increasingly stressed homeowners insurance environment. Both figures are already embedded in the -$501 monthly cash-flow estimate, so the headline number already accounts for them, but underwriting each deal individually against actual insurance quotes is essential given how much carrier pricing has moved in Florida over the past two years.

The concentration risk here is real and worth naming directly. A market this tethered to a single university institution means enrollment trends, state higher-education funding decisions, and remote-learning shifts all carry outsized weight. The stability score of 50 reflects this double-edged dynamic: UF provides demand consistency, but it also means the market does not diversify well against institutional shocks. Regulatory risk under Florida law is currently landlord-friendly relative to many other states, but that can shift. There are no vacancy or demographic statistics in the provided data to draw harder conclusions, so the concentration exposure is the primary specific risk to flag.

Among the neighboring counties, Putnam County stands out as the sharpest contrast: a median home price of $210,748, median rent of $1,369, and a rent-to-price ratio of 7.79%, the highest in this peer group. If cash flow is the primary objective and the university anchor is not essential to your tenant sourcing strategy, Putnam offers better starting economics even with lower absolute rents. Escambia County is a close overall peer (score of 56) with a rent-to-price ratio of 6.99%, slightly better than Alachua's 6.58%, and a lower price point at $273,928. Leon County and Columbia County both trail on rent-to-price ratios (6.15% and 6.51%, respectively) and carry lower overall scores of 55. Clay County has the highest rents in the group at $1,825 but also the highest prices at $331,840, landing a rent-to-price ratio nearly identical to Alachua at 6.60%. Choose Alachua over these neighbors specifically when the University of Florida and UF Health demand base is central to your tenant strategy, when you have access to below-median pricing, or when you are running a value-add play that can capture rent upside in a market with a durable institutional demand floor.

Last analyzed October 19, 2026. Based on the latest available Zillow and Census data for Alachua County.

Scenario comparison

Same $1,640/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$224,184-$109/mo5.7%-2.5%
Median
typical MLS deal
$298,912-$501/mo4.3%-8.7%
125% of median
newer / premium
$373,640-$893/mo3.4%-12.5%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$298,912
Down Payment (20%)$59,782
Loan Amount$239,130
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,640
Monthly P&I-$1,567
Est. Expenses (35%)-$574
Net Cash Flow-$501/mo
4.3%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-8.7%
Cash-on-Cash Return
6.58%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 4.3% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
56/100
56
Cash Flow(30%)
66/100

Based on 6.58% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
44/100

Based on -1.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
66/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Declining home values (-1.3% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$501/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.3% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
279,729
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
PutnamFL
57$210,747$1,3697.79%HoldView
CurrentAlachuaFL
56$298,912$1,6406.58%Hold
EscambiaFL
56$273,928$1,5966.99%HoldView
ColumbiaFL
55$265,072$1,4386.51%HoldView
LeonFL
55$284,858$1,4606.15%HoldView
ClayFL
55$331,840$1,8256.60%HoldView

Section 8 in Alachua County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.

The Bottom Line

HoldAlachua is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Alachua County in Florida scores 56/100, ranking #479 of 1,000 US counties (top 61%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $501/month; the 6.58% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-501/mo
Cap Rate
4.3%
Cash-on-Cash
-8.7%

Related markets

Average rent by city in Alachua County

Typical asking rent across each city's ZIP codes (Zillow Observed Rent Index). Open a city for rent by ZIP and bedroom count.

Frequently asked questions

The average cap rate in Alachua County is 4.28%, based on a median home price of $298,912 and median monthly rent of $1,639.87.

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