Alleghany market analysis
Alleghany County sits at a median home price of $270,750 with year-over-year appreciation of just 1.03%, which tells you immediately that this is not a price-growth story. The data does not include a cap rate or rent estimate for Alleghany itself, which means any underwriting here requires you to source local rents independently before running numbers. What the scoring confirms is the same picture: a cash flow score of 0, an appreciation score of 60, and an affordability index of 72 out of 100. The county ranks 344th nationally out of 1,000 markets and sits at the 56th percentile, placing it solidly in the middle of the pack with a modest lean toward the appreciation side of the spectrum. With an at-6.85% assumed rate and no rent data in the provided figures, the cash-flow case cannot be made from the data alone, and investors should treat that zero cash flow score as a caution flag rather than a placeholder.
That scoring profile points to one type of buyer: someone who is purchasing for long-term hold, mild appreciation, and relative affordability rather than for immediate income. An affordability index of 72 suggests that homes here are accessible relative to local incomes, which can support owner-occupant demand and help protect against price deterioration, but it does not automatically translate to rent levels that will carry a leveraged position. The appreciation score of 60 is decent but not exceptional, meaning you are not buying into a trajectory that excuses thin or negative monthly cash flow. Value-add operators who can manufacture equity through renovation may find the $270,750 median price workable as a starting basis, but without rent comps in the data you are underwriting blind on the income side. A pure cash-flow buyer has no numerical support here to make the case.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance figure comes to $253, based on a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.84% and an insurance rate of 0.28%. That is a Tax Foundation 2024 state-average estimate, and actual county or township rates in Alleghany may differ. The 0.84% rate falls in the normal range and does not represent a particular headwind, but at $253 per month it is still a material line on any underwrite, especially when you have no confirmed rent figure to absorb it against. Factor it in from day one rather than treating it as a residual.
The data does not include economic anchors or employer information for Alleghany County, so no claims about the local employment base or rental demand drivers can be made from what is provided. What the demographic picture does show is a population of 10,989, which is a small county by any measure. That concentration risk is the most straightforward flag here: a market this size offers limited transaction volume, thin rental demand relative to a metro, and potential illiquidity when you need to exit. If local conditions shift, whether a major employer reduces headcount, or population trends reverse, there is not a deep buyer pool to absorb supply.
Looking at the neighboring counties the data provides, Alleghany's $270,750 median sits above Wilson ($216,344), Surry ($220,321), and Cumberland ($227,591), while Cherokee ($274,117) and Gaston ($291,814) are priced higher. Of the neighbors with rent data, Cumberland shows a gross rent-to-price ratio of 7.5%, Cherokee 7.1%, Gaston 6.8%, and Wilson 7.0%. Those ratios, while not exceptional, give you at least a benchmarkable income story that Alleghany's own data does not. If your priority is measurable cash flow with numbers you can stress-test today, Cumberland County at a 7.5% gross ratio and a $227,591 median presents a more underwritable entry point with an identical overall score of 61. Cherokee County scores one point higher at 62 with a $1,625 median rent and a 7.1% ratio. Alleghany makes more sense than its neighbors only if you have a specific local knowledge edge, a particular asset or location within the county that justifies the price relative to rents you have independently confirmed, or if the affordability and stability scores support a thesis that the county holds value during a broader softening. On the numbers alone as provided, the neighboring counties with visible rent data offer a clearer underwriting path.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 1.0% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Alleghany County in North Carolina scores 61/100, ranking #344 of 1,000 US counties (top 44%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.