Burke County

North CarolinaPopulation: 87,799
63
/100
Hold
#295 of 1,000 counties
#17 in North Carolina (100 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated October 19, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$253,278
Median Home Price
10% above national median
$1,375/mo
Median Rent
5% below national median
6.51%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 37% nationally
-$434
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Burke market analysis

Burke County sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 6.51%, which places it in the lower half of what most cash-flow investors want to see, with the conventional 8% threshold comfortably out of reach at current prices. The cap rate of 4.24% reflects that positioning: the market generates yield, but not the kind that covers debt service at today's rates. Running a standard 20% down at 6.85%, the model produces a monthly mortgage of $1,328 against $1,375 in gross rent, and after $481 in estimated expenses the cash-on-cash return lands at -8.94%, with a projected monthly shortfall of $434. Year-over-year home price growth came in at 1.25%, which is modest appreciation rather than none at all, but nowhere near enough to make this a primary appreciation play. The overall score of 63 out of 100, ranking 17th in North Carolina and 295th nationally (62nd percentile), situates Burke in the middle tier: not a market you avoid, but not one where the numbers work without deliberate underwriting.

That combination of modest yield and slow appreciation narrows the investor profile considerably. A pure cash-flow buyer depending on this market to service debt at prevailing rates is going to bleed money on a vanilla acquisition. The math changes for buyers who can inject more equity, accept negative leverage as a short-term trade against a longer hold, or find acquisitions meaningfully below the $253,278 median. The affordability index of 76 signals that housing is still accessible relative to local incomes, which matters for the landlord who is thinking about tenant stability and vacancy risk rather than cap rate alone. A value-add operator who can purchase distressed assets below median, force equity through renovation, and reset rents above the current $1,375 median has the most credible path to positive cash-on-cash returns here. A pure appreciation buyer has limited justification at 1.25% price growth unless they have a thesis about Burke's longer-term trajectory that the current data does not yet support.

The combined monthly tax and insurance on a median-priced Burke acquisition runs $236, or $2,837 annually, based on a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.84% and an insurance rate of 0.28%. To be precise, that tax figure is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual Burke County or township rates may differ, so pull the county assessor's current rate before finalizing any underwrite. At 0.84%, the rate is in normal territory and does not represent a structural drag on yield the way a 1.5%+ rate would. Still, the $236/month is already embedded in the $481 estimated expense figure, and stripping it out reveals that non-tax, non-insurance operating expenses account for the remaining $245 per month, leaving very little room for capital expenditure reserves without deepening the cash-flow hole. Investors underwriting Burke need to be precise about capex reserves on older housing stock, because the margin for error is thin.

The primary risk in Burke is the stability score of 50, the lowest sub-score in the dataset and a real flag for concentration and demographic fragility in an 87,799-person county. A small, economically narrow market is more vulnerable to a single employer contraction or a manufacturing cycle downturn than a more diversified metro. No economic anchor data was provided for this analysis, so the specific employer base cannot be assessed here, but the population size and the stability score together suggest an investor should independently verify the depth and diversity of the local employment base before committing capital. Regulatory risk and vacancy statistics are not available in the provided data and are not addressed here.

Comparing Burke to its neighbors makes the positioning clearer. Cumberland County carries the highest rent-to-price ratio in the peer group at 7.50% against a median price of $227,591, making it the most compelling cash-flow alternative among the five neighbors, though its overall score of 61 trails Burke by two points. Cherokee County's 7.11% ratio and $1,625 median rent on a $274,117 median price is incrementally more favorable than Burke's yield math, but the higher entry price may not suit investors prioritizing capital efficiency. Davidson County is nearly identical to Burke on rent-to-price (6.57% versus 6.51%) at a slightly higher median price of $264,061 and a modestly better overall score of 65, making it the closest comp and the more rational choice if price is comparable and the investor needs to pick one. Gaston County, at $291,814 median and 6.80% ratio, carries the highest acquisition cost of the group, though its $1,653 median rent reflects that. Surry County has no rent data available in the provided dataset, so a yield comparison is not possible. An investor should choose Burke over its neighbors specifically when they can source below-median assets in the $180,000 to $210,000 range, where the rent-to-price math improves meaningfully, or when local market knowledge gives them an edge in execution that the county medians do not show.

Last analyzed October 19, 2026. Based on the latest available Zillow and Census data for Burke County.

Scenario comparison

Same $1,375/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$189,958-$102/mo5.7%-2.8%
Median
typical MLS deal
$253,278-$434/mo4.2%-8.9%
125% of median
newer / premium
$316,597-$766/mo3.4%-12.6%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$253,278
Down Payment (20%)$50,656
Loan Amount$202,622
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,375
Monthly P&I-$1,328
Est. Expenses (35%)-$481
Net Cash Flow-$434/mo
4.2%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-8.9%
Cash-on-Cash Return
6.51%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 4.2% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
63/100
63
Cash Flow(30%)
65/100

Based on 6.51% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
62/100

Based on 1.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
76/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$434/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.2% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
87,799
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
DavidsonNC
65$264,061$1,4466.57%BuyView
CurrentBurkeNC
63$253,278$1,3756.51%Buy
CherokeeNC
62$274,117$1,6257.11%BuyView
CumberlandNC
61$227,591$1,4227.50%BuyView
SurryNC
60$220,321Est. pending—BuyView
GastonNC
60$291,814$1,6536.80%BuyView

Section 8 in Burke County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.

The Bottom Line

HoldBurke scores well overall, but a typical leveraged buy-and-hold loses $434/mo at current rates. Consider house hacking, value-add, or all-cash; otherwise a worse score with positive cash flow may be the better deal.

Burke County in North Carolina scores 63/100, ranking #295 of 1,000 US counties (top 38%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $434/month; the 6.51% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-434/mo
Cap Rate
4.2%
Cash-on-Cash
-8.9%

Related markets

Frequently asked questions

The cap rate in Burke County is 4.24%, which reflects moderate cash-flow potential for landlords. This rate positions Burke as a balanced market, neither exceptionally strong for pure cash flow nor for appreciation.

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