Monroe County
Market Snapshot
Monroe market analysis
Monroe County sits at a median home price of $155,882 with an 8.07% year-over-year appreciation rate, placing it in the 98th percentile nationally out of 1,000 counties ranked and 3rd in Ohio out of 88. That appreciation figure is the headline here. The cash flow score is zero and cap rate data is not provided, which tells you this is not a market where the numbers pencil on gross yield alone at current prices. The affordability index of 97 and median price well under $160,000 suggest a market that hasn't been bid up by institutional capital, which is exactly the condition that tends to sustain price gains in secondary and tertiary markets when demand catches up to supply. The 8.07% annual appreciation on a $155,882 asset represents roughly $12,590 in equity growth in year one, which changes the total return calculus even if monthly cash flow is thin or flat.
This market suits an appreciation-oriented buyer or a patient equity builder more than a cash-flow-first operator. The zero cash flow score is a direct signal: at a $31,176 down payment and a 6.85% interest rate, monthly carry is not being covered by rent at a level that produces meaningful yield. An investor who needs a check from the property every month should look elsewhere. But an investor who can carry a neutral or slightly negative position, banking on price appreciation running above the national median, has a specific mathematical case here: 8.07% appreciation on a sub-$160,000 asset in a county ranking 14th nationally is not a story being told by most markets at this price point. Value-add operators may also find opportunity given the low entry price, assuming local renovation economics support the lift, though the data doesn't quantify that spread directly.
The economic context for Monroe County requires honesty: at 13,401 residents, this is a small, rural Ohio county. No economic anchor employers are provided in the data, so the driver of that 8.07% appreciation rate isn't explained by a single institutional employer the way a hospital or university town would be. The stability score of 50 reflects this directly. A half-score on stability in a county this size suggests that the rental demand base is not deep, and that vacancy exposure, while not quantified here, is a real underwriting concern that a buyer must investigate locally before committing capital. The affordability index of 97 does signal that residents can afford to pay rent relative to incomes, which is a necessary condition for sustained rental demand even in thin markets.
On carry costs, the monthly tax and insurance figure of $233 is material at this price point. At a $155,882 purchase price, $233 per month in tax and insurance alone represents a meaningful share of any rent you'd expect to collect. The state-average effective property tax rate of 1.56% is high enough to deserve its own line on your underwrite, and the data explicitly notes this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 with actual county and township rates potentially differing. In a market where cash flow is already scored at zero, an above-average tax rate is not a footnote; it is a primary reason the yield doesn't work at face value. Confirm the actual Monroe County millage rate before closing.
The concentration and demographic risk here is straightforward: 13,401 people. A single large employer relocating or a demographic outflow event doesn't get averaged out across a large metro population. The stability score of 50 prices some of this in, but an investor should underwrite for longer vacancy periods between tenants than they would in a county with five times the population. Regulatory risk and rent control are not flagged in the data.
Compared to the neighboring counties provided, Monroe's median home price of $155,882 sits below Van Wert ($186,971), Trumbull ($160,493), and Lucas ($169,370), and just above Crawford ($152,867) and Scioto ($135,788). Monroe also scores higher overall (78) than all five neighbors, whose scores range from 75 to 77. Trumbull and Lucas are the only neighbors with rent and rent-to-price data provided; Trumbull shows a rent-to-price ratio of 0.0799 and Lucas shows 0.0783, both indicating meaningful rental yield that Monroe's zero cash flow score suggests it doesn't match at current prices. A cash-flow-first buyer should look seriously at Trumbull County: lower overall score by one point, similar price point at $160,493, but with a documented rent-to-price ratio of nearly 8%. Monroe earns the edge when your thesis is price appreciation and affordability-driven upside, not monthly yield. Choose Monroe over its neighbors if you're buying for equity growth in a low-entry market and can tolerate thin cash flow; choose Trumbull if you need documented rent coverage.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 8.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+8.1% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Monroe County in Ohio scores 78/100, ranking #14 of 1,000 US counties (top 2%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Frequently asked questions
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