Gillespie County

TexasPopulation: 26,953
33
/100
Avoid
#773 of 1,000 counties
#215 in Texas (243 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated July 28, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$519,258
Median Home Price
127% above national median
$2,020/mo
Median Rent
39% above national median
4.67%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 81% nationally
-$1,409
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $2,020/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$389,443-$729/mo4.0%-9.8%
Median
typical MLS deal
$519,258-$1,409/mo3.0%-14.2%
125% of median
newer / premium
$649,072-$2,090/mo2.4%-16.8%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$519,258
Down Payment (20%)$103,852
Loan Amount$415,406
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$2,020
Monthly P&I-$2,722
Est. Expenses (35%)-$707
Net Cash Flow-$1,409/mo
3.0%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-14.2%
Cash-on-Cash Return
4.67%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.0% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
33/100
33
Cash Flow(30%)
40/100

Based on 4.67% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
13/100

Based on -5.9% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
26/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (4.67%)
  • -Declining home values (-5.9% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,409/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
26,953
Median Income
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
Data pending
Price-to-Income
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
  • You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
ShackelfordTX
44$148,074Est. pendingAvoidView
BanderaTX
44$329,463Est. pendingAvoidView
WillacyTX
42$169,393Est. pendingAvoidView
RealTX
38$273,282Est. pendingAvoidView
BlancoTX
36$591,088Est. pendingAvoidView
CurrentGillespieTX
33$519,258$2,0204.67%Avoid

The Bottom Line

AvoidGillespie may be challenging for traditional rentals. High prices or low rents make cash flow difficult.

Gillespie County in Texas scores 33/100, ranking #773 of 1,000 US counties (top 99%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1409/month; the 4.67% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,409/mo
Cap Rate
3.0%
Cash-on-Cash
-14.2%

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