Bulloch market analysis
Bulloch County posts a gross rent-to-price ratio of 6.24% and a cap rate of 4.05%, placing it squarely in the middle of the cash-flow versus appreciation spectrum, but closer to the cash-flow end than the appreciation end. Home prices are essentially flat, down 0.2% year-over-year, so you are not buying growth here. The affordability index of 71 is a genuine tailwind for landlords, meaning the tenant pool has real incentive to rent rather than buy, but the financing math at 6.85% interest is punishing. On a 20% down purchase at $276,176, the modeled monthly mortgage of $1,448 exceeds the median rent of $1,435, and after $502 in estimated operating expenses the cash-on-cash return comes out at negative 9.73%. That number demands attention: this is not a market where you can buy a median-priced asset with conventional financing, collect rent, and cover your costs. The 4.05% cap rate at least suggests the unlevered return is not disastrous, but leverage turns it negative fast at current rates.
The investor profile this market suits is narrow given those numbers. A cash-flow buyer using conventional 20%-down financing will bleed monthly and needs to either renegotiate the purchase price well below median, bring more equity, or find value-add opportunities where rents can be pushed above $1,435. The affordability score of 71 and the flat price trend do suggest you can negotiate, and a purchase at 15-20% below median would materially change the cap rate. An appreciation buyer has little data support here: a score of 49 on appreciation and prices declining 0.2% year-over-year do not argue for buying and waiting. The most credible investor type is the value-add operator who can acquire below-median assets, force appreciation through renovation, and push rents above the current median, keeping the exit multiple reasonable in an affordable market.
Bulloch County is home to Georgia Southern University, a public research university with an enrollment of roughly 26,000 students, and that single economic anchor shapes the rental market in ways a serious underwrite cannot ignore. University-driven rental demand tends to be durable and concentrated: you get consistent tenant flow tied to academic calendars, but also seasonality, higher turnover, and a tenant base that skews younger and may require more management intensity. The university also supports healthcare, retail, and professional services employment in Statesboro, which provides a secondary renter pool beyond students. That dual demand base, students and workforce tenants, is an asset, but it also means the market is meaningfully concentrated around one institution. If enrollment trends or state funding shift, rental demand absorbs the impact.
On carrying costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance figure runs approximately $295, which is a meaningful line item against $1,435 in gross rent. Georgia's state-average effective property tax rate here is modeled at 0.92%, flagged as normal, so it is not a material headwind or tailwind in itself. That said, the note accompanying this data is worth heeding: this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024, and actual Bulloch County or municipal rates may differ, so pull the county assessor's millage rate before finalizing your underwrite. At $994 annually, insurance is also not alarming for a single-family rental in Georgia, though coastal adjacency and storm exposure in the southeastern part of the state can push individual quotes above state averages depending on construction type and location within the county.
The primary risks here are concentration and financing. A county of roughly 80,000 people anchored heavily on one university carries real single-point-of-failure exposure on the demand side. There is no demographic or vacancy data in the provided inputs to quantify that risk further, but the investor should research Georgia Southern's enrollment trajectory independently. Regulatory risk in a smaller Georgia college town is generally lower than in major metros, but short-term rental restrictions tied to student housing are worth checking if that is part of your strategy.
Comparing Bulloch to its neighbors sharpens the picture. Carroll County, at a $283,747 median, has a higher rent-to-price ratio of 6.95% versus Bulloch's 6.24%, and a nearly identical overall score of 57. If you are near that price point and prioritizing yield, Carroll wins on the ratio. Jackson County is higher-priced at $399,130 but posts a 6.50% rent-to-price ratio and a slightly better overall score of 59, suggesting a more liquid and growth-adjacent market likely tied to Atlanta metro spillover. Stephens County at $240,436 median and a 6.74% ratio offers cheaper entry with better yield mechanics than Bulloch. Dougherty County is the outlier with an 8.82% rent-to-price ratio at a $121,479 median price, which is eye-catching, but its overall score of 60 barely edges Bulloch and low absolute rents of $893 imply a different risk profile entirely. Choose Bulloch specifically when the university tenant base fits your operational model and you can acquire below median price, because on raw yield metrics several neighbors offer better entry-point math.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $207,132 | -$153/mo | 5.4% | -3.9% |
Median typical MLS deal | $276,176 | -$515/mo | 4.0% | -9.7% |
125% of median newer / premium | $345,220 | -$877/mo | 3.2% | -13.3% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
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Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.24% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on -0.2% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Declining home values (-0.2% YoY)
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$515/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Bulloch County in Georgia scores 58/100, ranking #426 of 1,000 US counties (top 54%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $515/month; the 6.24% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.