Catoosa market analysis
Catoosa County posts a gross rent-to-price ratio of 6.55% and a cap rate of 4.26%, which places it squarely in the middle of the cash-flow versus appreciation spectrum, leaning slightly toward cash flow without delivering clean monthly profits at today's financing rates. At a 6.85% mortgage rate with 20% down, the modeled deal produces negative $492 per month in cash flow and a cash-on-cash return of -8.84%. That gap is almost entirely a financing problem, not a rent problem. The median home price of $290,417 against median rent of $1,585 is a reasonable ratio; the issue is that 6.85% debt service costs $1,522 per month before a dollar of expenses, which leaves almost no room. Year-over-year home price growth of just 0.41% signals this is not a market where appreciation is bailing anyone out in the near term. Catoosa scores 66 on cash flow and 54 on appreciation, which is an accurate reflection of the numbers: you are buying a market that wants to be a cash-flow play but currently needs either more equity, lower leverage, or softer purchase prices to get there.
The investor this market suits best is not the leveraged buyer at full retail with a 30-year fixed at current rates. That buyer loses nearly $500 a month on the model deal. The buyer who can make Catoosa work is either paying cash or bringing substantial equity, targeting a sub-$250,000 acquisition through a distressed or off-market deal to move the effective rent-to-price ratio above 7.5%, or operating a value-add strategy where forced appreciation on a discounted asset changes the basis before a refinance. The affordability index of 68 (above 50 suggests relative affordability versus income) and the median price at $290,417 mean there is still room to find product below median in a county this size, 68,052 residents, where not every asset trades at the middle of the market. An all-cash buyer underwriting to the 4.26% cap rate earns an unlevered yield that is serviceable for a capital preservation play in a mid-sized secondary market.
Catoosa County sits in the northwest corner of Georgia, directly adjacent to Chattanooga, Tennessee, which is the core economic driver for this market. The county functions largely as a bedroom community for the Chattanooga metro, which means rental demand here is tied to employment and wage growth across the state line rather than to internal Catoosa job creation. That is a double-edged fact: Chattanooga's diversified employer base provides stability that a rural single-employer county would not, but Catoosa does not independently control its economic destiny. Investors should underwrite tenant demand as metro-dependent, which historically correlates with lower vacancy in recessions than fully isolated rural markets.
Combined monthly tax and insurance on the modeled purchase runs $310, based on Georgia's state-average effective property tax rate of 0.92% and an insurance rate of 0.36%, and this figure is already baked into the $555 estimated expenses. Neither rate is a particular headwind: the 0.92% tax rate carries a "normal" flag and is not a line item that should concern you the way a 1.5%-plus rate would. That said, the standard caveat applies: the 0.92% is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and Catoosa County's specific millage rate may differ, so pull the actual county tax digest before closing. Insurance at 0.36% is also unremarkable for Georgia, where coastal and storm exposure is more concentrated to the south and east.
The primary risk in Catoosa is the bedroom-community concentration. If Chattanooga's labor market softens, Catoosa rental demand softens with it, and the county has limited independent economic activity to absorb that shock. The stability score of 50 out of 100 reflects this. There is no data provided here on vacancy rates or regulatory environment, so those cannot be assessed, but the population of 68,052 suggests a small enough market that a handful of large apartment completions could meaningfully move vacancy in a bad direction. An investor considering a multi-unit buy here should monitor pipeline supply in the Chattanooga suburban corridor before committing.
Among the five comparable Georgia counties in the data, Catoosa occupies a narrow position. Dougherty County offers a rent-to-price ratio of 8.82% at a median price of $121,479, which is the only market in this set where a leveraged buyer has a realistic path to monthly cash flow; the tradeoff is a smaller, lower-income market with different risk characteristics. Barrow County at 7.06% rent-to-price and $346,964 median outperforms Catoosa on the ratio while carrying a higher price. Bulloch County at $281,362 median and 6.57% rent-to-price is the closest analog to Catoosa, slightly cheaper with a nearly identical ratio and the same overall score of 59. Jackson County at $399,130 and 6.50% ratio is the most expensive and offers no ratio advantage. Choose Catoosa over its neighbors specifically when the Chattanooga metro proximity matters for tenant quality and when you can acquire below the $290,000 median, since Bulloch has similar math without the large-metro adjacency benefit and Barrow costs more for only a modest ratio improvement.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $217,813 | -$111/mo | 5.7% | -2.7% |
Median typical MLS deal | $290,417 | -$492/mo | 4.3% | -8.8% |
125% of median newer / premium | $363,022 | -$872/mo | 3.4% | -12.5% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
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Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.55% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 0.4% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$492/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.3% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Catoosa County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Catoosa County in Georgia scores 59/100, ranking #402 of 1,000 US counties (top 51%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $492/month; the 6.55% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.