Freeborn market analysis
Freeborn County sits at a median home price of $200,077 against a median rent of $1,136, producing a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.68% monthly, or roughly 8.1% annualized. The modeled cap rate comes in at 4.43%, which lands this county squarely in the middle of the cash-flow versus appreciation spectrum, leaning slightly toward appreciation. That read is confirmed by the score breakdown: appreciation scores 88 out of 100 while cash flow scores 68, and the 5.72% year-over-year home price gain gives the appreciation case real numbers behind it. The standardized cash-on-cash return, modeled at 6.85% financing with 20% down, comes out at negative 8.11%, with estimated monthly cash flow of negative $311. That figure reflects a leveraged scenario and does not mean this county is uninvestable, but it does mean the return thesis here is not monthly income, it is equity accumulation.
The investor profile this market suits best is the appreciation buyer or a patient long-term holder willing to tolerate modest negative carry in exchange for price growth. At a median price of $200,077 and an affordability index of 87 out of 100, entry is genuinely accessible, which limits downside on acquisition and positions a buyer to benefit from continued price appreciation without needing to stretch capital. A cash-flow buyer running strict debt-coverage requirements should look elsewhere or look for below-median acquisitions where the rent-to-price math improves. A value-add operator could theoretically compress the gap between the modeled expenses and rent, but the underlying gross yield at market rents is not generous enough to make a heavy value-add thesis the primary angle. The county ranks in the 86th national percentile out of 1,000 counties tracked, and 23rd out of 87 Minnesota counties, which tells you it is competitive within the state, not a hidden deep-value pocket.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance burden runs approximately $247, which on a $1,136 rent is meaningful but not crushing. The state-average effective property tax rate used here is 1.13%, flagged as normal, so it does not rise to the level of a red-flag underwriting item in the way a 1.7% or 2.0% rate would. That said, the note from Tax Foundation 2024 applies directly: this is a state-average estimate and county or township-level rates in Freeborn County may differ, so pulling the actual assessor data before closing is not optional. At the modeled mortgage payment of $1,049 plus $247 in tax and insurance, you are already at $1,296 in fixed monthly obligations against $1,136 in rent, before maintenance or vacancy reserves are factored in. That arithmetic explains the negative cash-on-cash in the standard model.
No economic anchor data was provided for Freeborn County, so employer-specific demand drivers are not addressed here. What the demographic data does show is a county population of 30,857, which is small enough to introduce concentration risk worth considering. Thin rental markets can mean faster re-leasing in a supply-constrained environment, but they can also mean slower absorption if a tenant vacates and local demand softens. A 30,000-person county gives you limited cushion if a major local employer contracts or the regional economy shifts. Stability scores a 50 out of 100 in the model, the lowest individual score in the county's profile, and that number should prompt any buyer to examine the underlying employment base before committing.
Looking at the neighboring counties, Freeborn's overall score of 72 is matched by Stevens County at 72 and Dodge County at 72, while Swift County and Lake of the Woods County each score 73, and Saint Louis County also scores 73. The most instructive comparison is with Saint Louis County, which is the only neighbor with rent data available: a median home price of $241,512 against median rent of $1,575 produces a monthly rent-to-price ratio of 0.78%, meaningfully better than Freeborn's 0.68%, which shifts Saint Louis County's cash-flow profile in a favorable direction for an income-focused buyer despite the higher acquisition price. Dodge County at $317,490 is the priciest neighbor and shares the same overall score, which suggests lower relative value at that price point unless local appreciation drivers justify the premium. Freeborn makes the most sense over its neighbors for the buyer who wants low entry cost, above-average appreciation scores, and tolerance for modest negative carry, particularly if the intent is a multi-year hold rather than immediate income generation.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $150,058 | -$49/mo | 5.9% | -1.7% |
Median typical MLS deal | $200,077 | -$311/mo | 4.4% | -8.1% |
125% of median newer / premium | $250,096 | -$573/mo | 3.5% | -11.9% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.81% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 5.7% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (6.81%)
- +Strong price appreciation (+5.7% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$311/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.4% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- +Patient holders willing to accept negative carry for equity gains
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- +Institutional or out-of-state investors who target appreciation markets
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Freeborn County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Freeborn County in Minnesota scores 72/100, ranking #113 of 1,000 US counties (top 14%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $311/month; the 6.81% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.