Hubbard market analysis
Hubbard County scores a cash-flow rating of 0 and a cap rate of 0, which tells you immediately where this market sits on the spectrum: it leans hard toward appreciation rather than immediate income. The appreciation score of 79 out of 100 backs that up, and the 2.86% year-over-year home price gain on a median of $326,260 reflects steady upward movement rather than speculative heat. The affordability index of 60 suggests prices aren't cheap relative to incomes, which typically compresses yields, and that pattern holds here. Without a positive rent-to-price ratio surfacing in the data, this is not a market where the numbers pencil for a cash-flow buyer running a conventional mortgage at 6.85%.
The investor this market suits is someone willing to accept thin or neutral near-term cash flow in exchange for price appreciation in a recreational lake-region county. Hubbard is the kind of rural Minnesota market where short-term or seasonal rental strategies sometimes offset the yield gap that long-term residential leases can't close, though any underwrite along those lines needs to be stress-tested for occupancy seasonality. A value-add operator hunting distressed assets might find isolated opportunities at $326,260 median, but with a stability score of only 50 out of 100, the market doesn't offer the demand cushion that makes repositioning plays forgiving. The appreciation buyer with a long hold horizon and low leverage is the clearest fit, accepting the tradeoff explicitly rather than hoping expenses will be covered in year one.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance burden comes to $402, based on Minnesota's state-average effective property tax rate of 1.13% and an estimated insurance rate of 0.35%. That $402 is a real number on a 20% down acquisition at $326,260 before you touch principal, interest, vacancy, or maintenance. The property tax flag here is "normal," meaning the 1.13% rate, while not punishing, is also not the tailwind you'd find in lower-tax states. Keep in mind this figure reflects a state-average estimate per Tax Foundation 2024 data, and Hubbard County or individual township rates may differ materially, so pull the actual county assessor data before you finalize any model. The insurance rate of 0.35% is modest, contributing roughly $95 per month of that $402 combined figure.
The neighbor comparison is instructive. Blue Earth County carries a rent-to-price ratio of 0.0609 on a $293,828 median, and an overall score of 66, slightly above Hubbard's 64. Olmsted County sits at 0.0596 on a $337,521 median. Both offer measurably better rent-relative-to-price dynamics, with Olmsted anchored by an established medical and regional employment base that supports more consistent rental demand. Mower County, at a $195,984 median and 0.0494 rent-to-price, offers the lowest entry point in this peer group, though its score also sits at 65 and rent levels are correspondingly low at $807. Nicollet County at $304,199 and a 0.0491 ratio is the weakest yielder among neighbors with full rent data, scoring 62. Le Sueur County, at $359,226, has no rent data provided so no yield comparison is possible. The conclusion: if income yield is your primary criterion, Blue Earth and Olmsted both beat Hubbard on the rent-to-price metric with comparable or higher overall scores. You choose Hubbard over those neighbors specifically when you're underwriting for appreciation in a lakeland recreational market and you have a use case, personal or investment, that benefits from that geography.
The concentration risk here is real and worth naming plainly. A county of 21,479 people is a thin rental demand pool. Small markets like this are sensitive to demographic shifts, employer exits, or sustained population decline in ways that larger metros absorb more easily. The stability score of 50 reflects that fragility. No economic anchor data was provided for Hubbard, so no specific employer commentary is possible, but in a rural county of this size, the absence of a named anchor institution is itself a signal worth sitting with. Investors who require a deep tenant pool, quick re-leasing, and reliable rent comps should weight that 21,479 population figure seriously before committing capital here.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 2.9% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
No significant strengths identified based on current data.
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Hubbard County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Hubbard County in Minnesota scores 64/100, ranking #273 of 1,000 US counties (top 35%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.